Sahir,
A lot of good comments. Mine are going to be about your process.
First, get involved with a good Production Chemist that can run the model. They have learned over time how to tune the models to be more realistic.
Second, get good water analysis samples from downhole before they have had a chance to start losing ions of possible scales to the flow. It is very hard to use surface water samples because the saturations have already changed and the results will be misleading.
Third, look at a range of conditions. Model runs are fast and cheap. Look at slightly different water mixes, saturations, and address other uncertainties. Then address changes over time such as depletion, increased water production, different non-compatible water from different zones, etc. This may be 50 runs. Each scale will have it's own peak time when it occurs during well life, and where it accumulates. Your are trying to understand these changes over time.
Finally, get involved with a chemical treatment company or two and look if there is any chemical you can squeeze or deploy in the well to delay or prevent large accumulations. These chemicals interfere with crystal structure and growth and are highly effective when you have the right ones.
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Dan Gibson
aka The Well Doctor
Completion & Well Integrity Advisor
Houston, Texas
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