Hi Pierre-Edouard,
Casing collapse is a complex topic. API 5C3 only applies to casing with a fluid in the annulus.
There is debate on whether a 200 micrometer microannulus could be regarded as a fluid with uniform pressure: even though collapse may happen through a heart-shaped mode rather than the pinched mode (picture you stepping on a can, sideways), collapse still involves large deformations, and these are hindered by cement.
So I guess your load case involves either large fluid pocket (mud channels) or creeping formation stresses.
Mud channels are a bane for high-enthalpy geothermal wells, since the expanding or even boiling fluid can collapse casing. The exact failure mode is still debated, but the solution has always been to fully displace all fluids out of the annulus. Completely.
As for creeping formations, there have been some studies of collapse. Analytical models are interesting, and reveal the key variables involved in pipe failure. Finite element models are
very hard to set up: you need to consider formation creep, large pipe deformations, and slip at the interface. If you want to determine the actual load limit, you also need steel plasticity (although for us, the appearance of elastic instability is enough to call a stop).
Stress exerted by shales is anisotropic, so you always get casing ovality. But I haven't seen collapse so far.
Salt stress is much higher, but isotropic. You can mix logs and models to assess the state of stress and your safety margin, though you may need very advanced tools and interpretation since you need full annulus geometry and cement properties.
The worst I have seen is salt (halite and polyhalite) stress in a free pipe or large mud channel section: in this case mud destabilizes the stress field, introduces very high anisotropy and you get ovality of more than 1 cm. This can give you access problems and even casing failure.
There is a third category of casing deformation and "collapse" i.e., what we refer to as fracture-driven interactions. The exact mechanics is still disputed, and it may have something to do with shear slippage at the formation. Not much collapse modeling required.
So, after this long and boring explanation, a recommendation: if you're dealing with collapse but your annulus is not totally free, then be very pragmatic, use logs to monitor deformation, and go for trial-and-error.
Models could help you, but you need both advanced measurements and modeling to drive action. Unless you're ready to mobilize both, then be pragmatic.
Hope it helps,
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Matteo Loizzo
Well integrity consultant
matteo.loizzo@mac.comBerlin, Germany
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