Hi Stuart,
Metal loss will depend on the corrosivity of the environment and on the ability of the flow to remove "rust" and replenish any reactive substances (such as oxygen).
Injectors are normally a big issue because you're pumping fluids that have been exposed to air: brine can easily eat up to 2 mm/year if poorly controlled. Even fresh water may lead to corrosion rates anywhere in the 0.05-0.5 mm/year range, depending on flow rate, oxygen and chloride content, and hardness.
If you're producing reservoir fluids and the casing is not water-wet (e.g. if your BSW is less than ~10%), then you may as well neglect metal loss. If you have a water film and acidic, salty reservoir brine (with, say CO2 and H2S), you may have substantial metal loss, in the mm/year range.
You can get orders of magnitude from literature, estimate metal loss using semi-empirical correlations (such as Norsok M-506 CO2 corrosion rate calculation model), or use complex chemical equilibrium calculations. In reality there are a lot of passivating and dynamic factors that are hard to account for when you're starting from basic principles.
Probably the best would be to analyse actual monitoring data and then figure out what the causes are and how to improve control if performance is not acceptable.
By the way: casing corrosion logs may be slightly tricked by coating or cement, and cross-physics comparison (say between ultrasonic and electro-magnetic) is always fraught with errors. So you have to take into account the accuracy of your measurements as well.
Best regards,
Matteo
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Matteo Loizzo
Wellbore integrity consultant
Berlin
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